Ontario Election Results and Implications for the HVACR Industry

On February 27, the Ontario Progressive Conservative (PC) Party secured its third consecutive majority government, winning 80 out of 124 seats. While this represents a three-seat loss compared to the 2022 general election, it is still one more than they held at the dissolution of the previous legislature. With little challenge to their majority, the most notable contest took place between the opposition parties. Ultimately, Marit Stiles and the Ontario NDP retained their status as the Official Opposition with 27 seats, while Bonnie Crombie and the Ontario Liberal Party regained official party status, securing 14 seats—an increase of five.

This election saw 18 new MPPs entering the Ontario Legislature, which presents an opportunity for industry stakeholders to build relationships with fresh decision-makers. While close results in a few ridings could prompt recounts, significant changes to seat distribution remain unlikely.

Impact on the HVACR Industry

Premier Doug Ford’s government campaigned on economic growth and protectionist measures in response to potential U.S. tariffs. With a commitment to $40 billion in spending, much of the focus will be on shielding Ontarians from economic disruptions by bolstering competitiveness, investing in workforce development, and protecting key industries—including those connected to HVACR.

For the HVACR industry, several factors will be critical in the coming months:

  • Workforce Development & Skilled Trades Support: The PCs have historically emphasized skilled trades and apprenticeship programs, an essential component for addressing Ontario’s HVACR labor shortages. Continued investment in training and upskilling initiatives will be crucial.
  • Energy Efficiency & Decarbonization Initiatives: While the government has prioritized affordability and economic growth, the HVACR sector will need to advocate for policies that support energy-efficient heating and cooling solutions, retrofits, and low-carbon technologies.
  • Impact of Tariffs & Supply Chain Stability: Ford’s call for Canada to respond to U.S. tariffs with retaliatory measures could have downstream effects on material costs and supply chains for HVAC equipment. Monitoring policy developments and potential cost implications will be vital.

Looking Ahead

As Premier Ford prepares to swear in a new cabinet and draft the 2025 budget, the HVACR industry has an opportunity to ensure its priorities are reflected in government policies. HRAI remains actively engaged with the Ontario government, advocating for industry needs, including workforce development, incentives for energy-efficient technologies, and supply chain stability.

Stay tuned for further updates as we navigate the evolving political and economic landscape in Ontario.

 

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